Population health & ethics, 12.5% of the MCQ exam

Epidemiology and biostatistics

Study design, measures of risk, test accuracy and critical appraisal, plus key Australian health statistics.

High-yield points

  • Sensitivity = TP/(TP+FN); specificity = TN/(TN+FP); PPV and NPV depend on prevalence.

  • Likelihood ratio positive = sensitivity/(1 - specificity).

  • NNT = 1 / absolute risk reduction.

  • Relative risk comes from cohort studies and RCTs; odds ratios from case-control studies.

  • Screening biases: lead-time bias, length-time bias and overdiagnosis.

  • Confounding is controlled by randomisation, restriction, matching or statistical adjustment.

  • Coronary heart disease and dementia are the two leading causes of death in Australia; dementia is the leading cause of death in women.

India vs Australia

Where the answer the AMC marks correct differs from what’s usually taught in Indian MBBS.

  • Core methods

    India (MBBS)

    Standard biostatistics and study design.

    Australia (AMC): what the exam expects

    Largely the same: sensitivity, NNT, bias and study types are examined identically.

  • Data sources

    India (MBBS)

    Census, NFHS, Sample Registration System.

    Australia (AMC): what the exam expects

    Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (AIHW) and the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).

  • Burden of disease

    India (MBBS)

    Infections alongside rising non-communicable disease.

    Australia (AMC): what the exam expects

    Chronic disease, cancer, mental illness and ageing dominate.

  • Health inequity

    India (MBBS)

    Gaps by region, caste and income.

    Australia (AMC): what the exam expects

    The biggest gap is between First Nations and other Australians, e.g. life expectancy.

The Australian context

Australian health data comes mainly from the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (AIHW) and the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). Unlike India, the major burden of disease is chronic non-communicable disease and ageing rather than infection, and the largest health gap is between Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people and other Australians.